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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">dan</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Доклады Национальной академии наук Беларуси</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Doklady of the National Academy of Sciences of Belarus</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1561-8323</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2524-2431</issn><publisher><publisher-name>The Republican Unitary Enterprise Publishing House "Belaruskaya Navuka"</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.29235/1561-8323-2022-66-5-525-532</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">dan-1092</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>МЕДИЦИНА</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>MEDICINE</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Прогностическая роль параметров жесткости артерий у пациентов с артериальной гипертензией, включая лиц с отягощенным анамнезом по инфаркту головного мозга</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Predictive significance of a complex approach in determining the vascular wall stiffness parameters in patients with arterial hypertension and in patients with arterial hypertension after ischemic stroke</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Киндалёва</surname><given-names>О. Г.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kindaliova</surname><given-names>V. G.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Киндалёва Ольга Генриковна – канд. мед. наук, ст. преподаватель</p><p>ул. Горького, 80, 230009, Гродно</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Kindaliova Volha G. – Ph. D. (Medicine), Senior Lecturer</p><p>80, Gorky Str., 230009, Grodno</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">kindaliova.volha@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Пронько</surname><given-names>Т. П.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Pronko</surname><given-names>T. P.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Пронько Татьяна Павловна – канд. мед. наук, доцент, заведующий кафедрой</p><p>ул. Горького, 80, 230009, Гродно</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Pronko Tatiana P. – Ph. D. (Medicine), Associate Professor, Head of Department</p><p>80, Gorky Str., 230009, Grodno</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">tanya_pronko@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Добродей</surname><given-names>М. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Dobrodey</surname><given-names>M. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Добродей Мария Александровна – канд. мед. наук, доцент</p><p>ул. Горького, 80, 230009, Гродно</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Dobrodey Maria A. – Ph. D. (Medicine), Associate Professor</p><p>80, Gorky Str., 230009, Grodno</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">dobrodeimaria@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Губкин</surname><given-names>С. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Gubkin</surname><given-names>S. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Губкин Сергей Владимирович – член-корреспондент, д-р мед. наук, профессор, директор</p><p>ул. Академическая, 28, 220072, Минск</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Gubkin Sergey V. – Corresponding Member, D. Sc. (Medicine), Professor, Director</p><p>28, Akademicheskaya Str., 220072, Minsk</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">goubkin@yandex.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Гродненский государственный медицинский университет</institution></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Grodno State Medical University</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Институт физиологии Национальной академии наук Беларуси</institution></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Institute of Physiology of the National Academy of Sciences of Belarus</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2022</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>03</day><month>11</month><year>2022</year></pub-date><volume>66</volume><issue>5</issue><fpage>525</fpage><lpage>532</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Киндалёва О.Г., Пронько Т.П., Добродей М.А., Губкин С.В., 2022</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2022</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Киндалёва О.Г., Пронько Т.П., Добродей М.А., Губкин С.В.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Kindaliova V.G., Pronko T.P., Dobrodey M.A., Gubkin S.V.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://doklady.belnauka.by/jour/article/view/1092">https://doklady.belnauka.by/jour/article/view/1092</self-uri><abstract><p>Представлены сведения о прогностической значимости комплексного подхода в определении параметров жесткости сосудистой стенки. Обследовано 159 человек с артериальной гипертензией (АГ) и с АГ после перенесенного ишемического инфаркта головного мозга. При помощи уравнения бинарной регрессии с пробитфункцией связи построена модель с условным линейным предиктором (ЛП), представляющим собой совокупность показателей возраста (В), скорости клубочковой фильтрации (CKD-EPI), скорости распространения пульсовой волны (СРПВ), толщины комплекса интима-медиа (КИМ), сердечно-лодыжечного сосудистого индекса (СЛСИ) и индекса аугментации (ИА) с целью составления прогноза в отношении сердечно-сосудистых событий. Уравнение имеет следующий вид: ЛП = –6,6139 – 0,0978В + 0,031CKD-EPI + 0,0758СРПВ + 3,2086КИМ + 0,4421СЛСИ + 1,2429ИА. Порог отсечения по ЛП = 0,0238, чувствительность (Se) 85,71 %, специфичность (Sp) 77,0 % и точность (Acc) 78,07 %.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The article presents the information about the predictive significance of a complex approach in determining vascular wall stiffness parameters. A total of 159 people with arterial hypertension (AH) and AH after a previous ischemic stroke were examined. A model with a conditional linear predictor (LP) was constructed, using a binary regression equation with a probit-link function for prediction of cardiovascular events. LP is a combination of indicators such as age (А), glomerular filtration rate (CKD-EPI), pulse wave velocity (PWV), intima- media thickness (IMT), cardio-ankle vascular index (CAVI) and augmentation index (AI). The equation has the following form: LP = –6.6139 – 0.0978A + 0.031CKDEPI + 0.0758PWV + 3.2086IMT + 0.4421CAVI + 1.2429AI. The cut-off threshold for LP = 0.0238, sensitivity (Se) 85.71 %, specificity (Sp) 77 % and accuracy (Acc) 78.07 %.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>жесткость сосудистой стенки</kwd><kwd>прогноз</kwd><kwd>артериальная гипертензия</kwd><kwd>ишемический инфаркт головного мозга</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>arterial stiffness</kwd><kwd>prognosis</kwd><kwd>arterial hypertension</kwd><kwd>ischemic stroke</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Шальнова, С. А. Факторы, влияющие на смертность от сердечно-сосудистых заболеваний в российской популяции / С. А. Шальнова, А. Д. Деев, Р. Г. Оганов // Кардиоваскулярная терапия и профилактика. – 2005. – Т. 4, № 1. – С. 4–9.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Shalnova S. A., Deev A. D., Oganov R. G. Factors influencing cardiovascular mortality in Russian population. 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