Preview

Doklady of the National Academy of Sciences of Belarus

Advanced search

Numerical modeling of microclimate of re-waterlogged lands of Belarusian Polesie

https://doi.org/10.29235/1561-8323-2024-68-3-238-246

Abstract

Based on the mesoscale hydrodynamic model WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting), the balance model of atmospheric moisture and the remote sensing data, we obtained the estimates of microclimate changes as a result of reswamping of lands in Belarusian Polesie. The calculations were performed on the example of the Khoiniki district of the Gomel region of Belarus. Numerical experiments considered the driest summer periods of the last two decades. Based on the modeling results, the maps of changes in mean daily temperature, amplitude of daily temperature variations, evapotranspiration and precipitation were constructed, which can be used to predict the consequences of land reclamation in different scenarios of adaptation to climate changes.

About the Author

S. A. Lysenko
Institute for Nature Management of the National Academy of Sciences of Belarus
Belarus

Lysenko Sergey A. – D. Sc. (Physics and Mathematics), Professor, Director

10, F. Skorina Str., 220114, Minsk



References

1. Lysenko S. A., Loginov V. F., Buyakov I. V., Brovka Yu. A. Water balance of Belarus and its changes due to global warming. Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2024, vol. 49, no. 1, pp. 52–61. https://doi.org/10.3103/s1068373924010072

2. Lysenko S. A. Climate-Forced Changes of Bioproductivity of Terrestrial Ecosystems in Belarus. Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics, 2020, vol. 56, pp. 1080–1089. https://doi.org/10.1134/s0001433820090169

3. Lysenko S. A., Loginov V. F., Zaiko P. O. Climate Change Impacts on Bioproductivity of Terrestrial Ecosystems in the Belarusian-Ukrainian Polesie Region. Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2022, vol. 47, no. 1, pp. 41–49. https://doi.org/10.3103/s1068373922010058

4. Lysenko S. A. Forward and Backward Linkages between Land Surface Temperature and Leaf Area Index for the Summer in Belarus. Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics, 2023, vol. 59, pp. 1137–1149. https://doi.org/10.1134/s000143382309013x

5. Lysenko S. A., Zaiko P. O. Potential Climate Impacts of Afforestation and Waterlogging in Belarus. Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics, 2023, vol. 59, pp. 131–143. https://doi.org/10.1134/s0001433823020044

6. Lysenko S. A., Loginov V. F., Bondarenko Yu. A. Relationship of modern changes in evaporation and number of precipitation in the Southern regions of Belarus. Prirodopol’zovanie = Nature Management, 2020, no. 1, pp. 20–29 (in Russian).

7. Lysenko S. A., Zaiko P. O. Improving the accuracy of numerical weather forecasts in Belarus using operational satellite data. Prirodopol’zovanie = Nature Management, 2022, no. 2, pp. 86–98 (in Russian).

8. Lysenko S. A., Zaiko P. O. Estimates of the Earth surface influence on the accuracy of numerical prediction of air temperature in Belarus using the WRF model. Gidrometeorologicheskie issledovaniya i prognozy = Hydrometeorological Research and Forecasting, 2021, no. 4 (382), pp. 50–68 (in Russian). https://doi.org/10.37162/2618-9631-2021-4-50-68

9. Leuning R., Zhang Y. Q., Rajaud A., Cleugh H., Tu K. A simple surface conductance model to estimate regional evaporation using MODIS leaf area index and the Penman–Monteith equation. Water Resources Research, 2008, vol. 44, no. 10. https://doi.org/10.1029/2007wr006562

10. Zhang Y. Q., Peña-Arancibia J. L., McVicar T. R., Chiew F. H. S., Vaze J., Liu C., Lu X., Zheng H., Wang Y., Liu Y. Y., Miralles D. G., Pan M. Multi-decadal trends in global terrestrial evapotranspiration and its components. Scientific Reports, 2016, vol. 6, art. 19124. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep19124


Review

Views: 35


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 1561-8323 (Print)
ISSN 2524-2431 (Online)